VST vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Vistra Corp. and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$117.18
-39.6% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
VST has more upside to fair value
(+20.9%).
VST trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
VST |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$140.58 |
$117.18 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$170.00 |
$70.81 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+20.9%
|
-39.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$47.4B |
$932.5B |
| Forward P/E |
15.4x
|
41.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
9.3x
|
20.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.9x
|
1.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
42.5x
|
74.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+20.0%
|
+7.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
12.7%
|
25.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
2.1%
|
4.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
35.0%
|
24.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.65% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.4%
|
1.35%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Walmart Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer with a strong competitive moat built on scale, cost leadership, and advanced logistics and technology infrastructure. The company benefits from a diversified revenue base with Walmart U.S. contributing 69%, International 18%, and Sam's Club 13%. Despite solid revenue growth of 7.3% and earnings growth of 25.9% in the most recent quarter, the st…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
VST |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$128.00 |
$53.11 |
| Zone High |
$145.00 |
$60.19 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|