VST vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Vistra Corp. and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$106.73
-10.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
WMT has more upside to fair value
(-10.8%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
VST |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$140.67 |
$106.73 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$108.27 |
$95.24 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-23.0%
|
-10.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$47.4B |
$849.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
10.3x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
3.0x
|
1.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
34.7x
|
62.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-5.5%
|
+5.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
13.0%
|
25.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
2.3%
|
4.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
41.5%
|
22.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.65% |
0.92% |
| FCF Yield |
2.88%
|
1.59%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating more than 10,000 stores and clubs across Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, with a fast-growing e-commerce and advertising ecosystem layered on top of a grocery-led, everyday-low-price model. The business quality is high: scale and sourcing power underpin a durable cost advantage, ROE is 22.7%, and revenue grew 5…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
VST |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$81.20 |
$71.43 |
| Zone High |
$92.03 |
$80.95 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|