UPS vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of United Parcel Service, Inc. and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-06-20.
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$117.18
-39.6% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
UPS |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$105.00 |
$117.18 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$118.53 |
$70.81 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+12.9%
|
-39.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$89.2B |
$932.5B |
| Forward P/E |
17.0x
|
41.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
9.6x
|
20.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.0x
|
1.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
19.8x
|
74.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-1.6%
|
+7.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
17.8%
|
25.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.5%
|
4.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
33.0%
|
24.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
5.06%
|
1.35%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Walmart Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer with a strong competitive moat built on scale, cost leadership, and advanced logistics and technology infrastructure. The company benefits from a diversified revenue base with Walmart U.S. contributing 69%, International 18%, and Sam's Club 13%. Despite solid revenue growth of 7.3% and earnings growth of 25.9% in the most recent quarter, the st…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
UPS |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$88.90 |
$53.11 |
| Zone High |
$100.75 |
$60.19 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|