MELI vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of MercadoLibre, Inc. and Walmart Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-06-20.
MercadoLibre, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$1,635.15
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Walmart Inc. Β· Consumer Defensive
$117.18
-39.6% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MELI has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). WMT trades at a lower forward P/E (41.1x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric MELI WMT
Current Price $1,635.15 $117.18
Fair Value Estimate $2,370.97 $70.81
Upside to Fair Value +45.0% -39.6%
Market Cap $82.9B $932.5B
Forward P/E 43.2x 41.1x
EV / EBITDA 27.0x 20.7x
Price / Sales 2.6x 1.3x
Price / FCF 7.7x 74.3x
Revenue Growth YoY +49.0% +7.3%
Gross Margin 43.9% 25.0%
Operating Margin 9.6% 4.2%
Return on Equity 29.6% 24.3%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 12.92% 1.35%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
MELI β€” MercadoLibre, Inc.
MercadoLibre is a leading Latin American e-commerce and fintech platform with a durable competitive moat driven by its integrated logistics and financial services stack. The company commands approximately 30 to 35 percent market share in e-commerce and over 30 percent in online payments in key markets like Brazil. It is founder-influenced with a long-tenured management team and reinvests heavily …
WMT β€” Walmart Inc.
Walmart Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer with a strong competitive moat built on scale, cost leadership, and advanced logistics and technology infrastructure. The company benefits from a diversified revenue base with Walmart U.S. contributing 69%, International 18%, and Sam's Club 13%. Despite solid revenue growth of 7.3% and earnings growth of 25.9% in the most recent quarter, the st…
Accumulation Zones
Metric MELI WMT
Zone Low $1,778.23 $53.11
Zone High $2,015.32 $60.19
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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