MAR vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Marriott International, Inc. and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
Marriott International, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$334.97
+20.6% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$106.73
-10.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MAR has more upside to fair value
(+20.6%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MAR |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$334.97 |
$106.73 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$403.81 |
$95.24 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+20.6%
|
-10.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$87.3B |
$849.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
22.2x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
3.2x
|
1.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
28.7x
|
62.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+4.8%
|
+5.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
20.2%
|
25.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
15.8%
|
4.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
-66.7%
|
22.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.84% |
0.92% |
| FCF Yield |
3.48%
|
1.59%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Marriott International is a global asset-light hotel franchisor and manager whose 10,082-property, 1.814 million-room system, 629,000-room development pipeline, broad brands, and more than 295 million Bonvoy members support durable fee-led economics. Business quality is tempered by cyclicality, competitive owner incentives, and $16.915 billion of debt, while reported ROE is negative 66.7%. In the…
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating more than 10,000 stores and clubs across Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, with a fast-growing e-commerce and advertising ecosystem layered on top of a grocery-led, everyday-low-price model. The business quality is high: scale and sourcing power underpin a durable cost advantage, ROE is 22.7%, and revenue grew 5…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MAR |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$302.86 |
$71.43 |
| Zone High |
$343.24 |
$80.95 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|