MA vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Mastercard Incorporated and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
Mastercard Incorporated · Financial Services
$574.42
+25.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade A-
High Quality
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$106.73
-10.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value
(+25.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MA |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$574.42 |
$106.73 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$718.00 |
$95.24 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+25.0%
|
-10.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$503.8B |
$849.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
23.4x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
1.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
30.8x
|
62.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+14.1%
|
+5.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
100%
|
25.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
59.8%
|
4.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
232.5%
|
22.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.59% |
0.92% |
| FCF Yield |
3.25%
|
1.59%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Mastercard operates a global payments network that connects issuers, acquirers, merchants and consumers across more than 200 countries and territories, monetizing payment volumes, cross-border activity and higher-growth value-added services. Business quality is high because its two-sided network, trusted authorization-clearing-settlement infrastructure, brand, security capabilities and broad acce…
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating more than 10,000 stores and clubs across Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, with a fast-growing e-commerce and advertising ecosystem layered on top of a grocery-led, everyday-low-price model. The business quality is high: scale and sourcing power underpin a durable cost advantage, ROE is 22.7%, and revenue grew 5…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MA |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$538.50 |
$71.43 |
| Zone High |
$610.30 |
$80.95 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|