LLY vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Eli Lilly and Company and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare
$1,183.72
+2.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$106.73
-10.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
LLY has more upside to fair value
(+2.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
LLY |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$1,183.72 |
$106.73 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,208.00 |
$95.24 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+2.1%
|
-10.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,114.8B |
$849.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
26.8x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.0x
|
1.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
52.7x
|
62.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+47.7%
|
+5.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
83.4%
|
25.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
49.7%
|
4.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
92.6%
|
22.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.57% |
0.92% |
| FCF Yield |
1.9%
|
1.59%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Eli Lilly is a global pharmaceutical company whose incretin franchise, led by Mounjaro and Zepbound, has become the dominant growth engine in diabetes and obesity care. The business quality is high: TTM gross margin is 83.4%, TTM operating margin is 49.7%, TTM net margin is 33.5%, and ROE is 92.6%, while revenue grew 47.7% and earnings grew 25.3% in the most recent quarter on a year-over-year bas…
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating more than 10,000 stores and clubs across Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, with a fast-growing e-commerce and advertising ecosystem layered on top of a grocery-led, everyday-low-price model. The business quality is high: scale and sourcing power underpin a durable cost advantage, ROE is 22.7%, and revenue grew 5…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
LLY |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$906.00 |
$71.43 |
| Zone High |
$1,026.80 |
$80.95 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|