HD vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Walmart Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-13.
The Home Depot, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$343.30
+34.6% upside to fair value
Grade A High Quality
VS
Walmart Inc. Β· Consumer Defensive
$117.18
-39.6% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value (+34.6%). HD trades at a lower forward P/E (24.3x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HD WMT
Current Price $343.30 $117.18
Fair Value Estimate $462.14 $70.81
Upside to Fair Value +34.6% -39.6%
Market Cap $342.3B $932.5B
Forward P/E 24.3x 41.1x
EV / EBITDA 16.5x 20.7x
Price / Sales 2.0x 1.3x
Price / FCF 23.9x 74.3x
Revenue Growth YoY +4.8% +7.3%
Gross Margin 33.1% 25.0%
Operating Margin 12.4% 4.2%
Return on Equity 113.3% 24.3%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 4.18% 1.35%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
HD β€” The Home Depot, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a leading home improvement retailer in the consumer cyclical sector, leveraging a strong brand and cost advantages to maintain a durable competitive moat. Despite a modest revenue growth of 4.8% and a decline in earnings by 4.2% in the most recent quarter, the company exhibits exceptional profitability metrics including a 113.3% return on equity and solid margins …
WMT β€” Walmart Inc.
Walmart Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer with a strong competitive moat built on scale, cost leadership, and advanced logistics and technology infrastructure. The company benefits from a diversified revenue base with Walmart U.S. contributing 69%, International 18%, and Sam's Club 13%. Despite solid revenue growth of 7.3% and earnings growth of 25.9% in the most recent quarter, the st…
Accumulation Zones
Metric HD WMT
Zone Low $346.61 $53.11
Zone High $392.82 $60.19
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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