COP vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-08.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$117.18
-39.6% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(-21.6%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(18.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$117.18 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$70.81 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
-39.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$932.5B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
41.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
20.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
1.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
74.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+7.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
25.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
4.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
24.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
1.35%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
Walmart Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer with a strong competitive moat built on scale, cost leadership, and advanced logistics and technology infrastructure. The company benefits from a diversified revenue base with Walmart U.S. contributing 69%, International 18%, and Sam's Club 13%. Despite solid revenue growth of 7.3% and earnings growth of 25.9% in the most recent quarter, the st…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$53.11 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$60.19 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|