COP vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Walmart Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive
$106.73
-10.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
WMT |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$106.73 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$95.24 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
-10.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$849.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
1.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
62.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+5.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
25.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
4.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
22.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
0.92% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
1.59%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating more than 10,000 stores and clubs across Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, with a fast-growing e-commerce and advertising ecosystem layered on top of a grocery-led, everyday-low-price model. The business quality is high: scale and sourcing power underpin a durable cost advantage, ROE is 22.7%, and revenue grew 5…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
WMT |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$71.43 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$80.95 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|