GOOGL Research Update — September 13, 2026 (Updated)
Updated Thesis
Alphabet is the parent of Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android, Chrome, hardware, and the Play store), Google Cloud, and Other Bets, and it remains one of the highest-quality large-cap franchises in the market, with a TTM gross margin of 60.9%, TTM operating margin of 33.1%, TTM net margin of 54.8%, and a 50.8% return on equity. Revenue growth in the most recent quarter was 24.2% year over year and earnings growth in the most recent quarter was 297.9% year over year, yet the shares trade at 9.29x sales, 17.03x trailing earnings, 78.09x free cash flow, and 12.86x EV/EBITDA, a very expensive regime relative to the company's own five-year history. The blended fair value estimate of $399.26 implies 16.6% upside, and the analyst consensus target of $467.50 implies 36.6% upside, so the shares are undervalued versus blended fair value even though they screen rich on historical multiples.
The investment grade as of this refresh is B — solid business quality. A-tier business, C-tier valuation with 16.6% upside to $399.26 blended fair value.
Key Metrics at a Glance
- Revenue growth: +24.2% year over year
- Net margin: 54.8%
- Fair value upside: +16.6% to our estimate of $399
Current price: $342.36
These figures reflect our most recent data pull and are one input into a multi-factor valuation framework.
Our 12–18 Month Outlook
Quality companies held over a multi-year horizon benefit from compounding fundamentals and the patience to ride through short-term volatility. Alphabet Inc. remains in our covered universe with a solid-quality assessment. We update research when material data changes — earnings revisions, management shifts, or regime changes in valuation — not on every price fluctuation.
Long-term accumulation of quality businesses at fair or better prices is the core of the Patient Accumulator approach. Research updates like this one inform whether to add, hold, or wait for a better zone — not whether to react to short-term price moves.
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