UPS vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of United Parcel Service, Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-06-20.
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$137.81
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
UPS |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$105.00 |
$137.81 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$118.53 |
$75.80 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+12.9%
|
-45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$89.2B |
$571.2B |
| Forward P/E |
17.0x
|
22.8x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
9.6x
|
10.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.0x
|
1.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
19.8x
|
30.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-1.6%
|
+2.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
17.8%
|
25.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.5%
|
9.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
33.0%
|
9.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
5.06%
|
3.29%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Exxon Mobil Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas company with a durable competitive moat based on its scale, integration, advantaged long-life resources, proprietary technology, and irreplaceable infrastructure. The company is led by a long-tenured management team with a strong capital allocation track record focused on dividends and buybacks. Despite these strengths, Exxon is currentl…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
UPS |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$88.90 |
$56.85 |
| Zone High |
$100.75 |
$64.43 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|