UPS vs VRTV: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of United Parcel Service, Inc. and Veritiv Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Veritiv Corporation · Industrials
$169.99
-45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+21.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
UPS |
VRTV |
| Current Price |
$99.02 |
$169.99 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$119.92 |
$93.49 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+21.1%
|
-45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$84.1B |
$2.3B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
10.2x
|
5.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
0.9x
|
0.4x
|
| Price / FCF |
15.3x
|
10.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.6%
|
-19.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
16.6%
|
22.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
7.3%
|
5.9%
|
| Return on Equity |
29.1%
|
48.6%
|
| Dividend Yield |
6.62% |
1.48% |
| FCF Yield |
6.52%
|
9.57%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Veritiv Corporation is a business-to-business distributor of specialty packaging, facility solutions, print, and publishing products, operating through four segments with a network of distribution centers and roughly 5,000 employees. The business quality is mixed: it generates a strong 48.6% ROE and trades at a low 7.13 trailing P/E and 5.44 EV/EBITDA, but revenue declined 19.0% year over year in…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
UPS |
VRTV |
| Zone Low |
$89.94 |
$70.12 |
| Zone High |
$101.93 |
$79.47 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|