TSM vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$365.90
-3.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+27.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+27.8%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.1x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSM |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$365.90 |
$101.69 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$352.00 |
$130.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-3.8%
|
+27.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,897.7B |
$86.4B |
| Forward P/E |
26.0x
|
15.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
18.1x
|
9.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
13.3x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.0x
|
17.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+33.0%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
59.9%
|
18.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
50.8%
|
9.56%
|
| Return on Equity |
35.1%
|
34.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.05% |
6.41% |
| FCF Yield |
1.85%
|
5.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
TSMC remains the single most critical company in the global semiconductor supply chain, manufacturing virtually every leading-edge AI chip for NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and the hyperscalers. The company delivered exceptional 2025 results with 33% revenue growth and 50% net income growth, driven by HPC surging to 55% of Q4 revenue. At the 3nm node, TSMC maintains production yields of 70-80% versus Samsu…
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSM |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$265.00 |
$95.00 |
| Zone High |
$310.00 |
$112.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|