TSLA vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-06-20.
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$400.49
-1.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$137.81
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value
(-1.1%).
XOM trades at a lower forward P/E
(22.8x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$400.49 |
$137.81 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$396.15 |
$75.80 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-1.1%
|
-45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,504.1B |
$571.2B |
| Forward P/E |
334.1x
|
22.8x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
124.0x
|
10.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
15.4x
|
1.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
214.9x
|
30.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+15.8%
|
+2.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
19.1%
|
25.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
5.0%
|
9.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.8%
|
9.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
0.47%
|
3.29%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global electric vehicle manufacturer and energy solutions provider, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company maintains a strong position in the EV market with a unique fast-charging and software ecosystem, although its EV market share is declining amid intensifying competition. Tesla's business quality is medium due to its narrowing moat and modest profitability, with…
Exxon Mobil Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas company with a durable competitive moat based on its scale, integration, advantaged long-life resources, proprietary technology, and irreplaceable infrastructure. The company is led by a long-tenured management team with a strong capital allocation track record focused on dividends and buybacks. Despite these strengths, Exxon is currentl…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$297.11 |
$56.85 |
| Zone High |
$336.73 |
$64.43 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|