TSLA vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-01.
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$387.51
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$154.46
-40.5% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
XOM has more upside to fair value
(-40.5%).
XOM trades at a lower forward P/E
(23.2x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$387.51 |
$154.46 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$213.13 |
$91.87 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-45.0%
|
-40.5%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,454.1B |
$642.0B |
| Forward P/E |
330.0x
|
23.2x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
122.9x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
15.3x
|
2.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
233.8x
|
27.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-3.1%
|
-1.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
18.0%
|
21.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
4.6%
|
10.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.8%
|
11.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
0.43%
|
3.68%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of electric vehicles, energy storage, and solar products, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company has a mixed business quality profile with a strong brand and innovation leadership but faces significant challenges including declining automotive revenue, which fell nearly 10% year-over-year in 2025, and a 3.1% revenue decline in the most recent qua…
Exxon Mobil Corporation operates as a global integrated oil and gas company with significant operations in upstream, energy products, chemical products, and specialty products segments. The company benefits from a highly experienced management team with decades of internal tenure, led by CEO Darren Woods. Despite strong cash flow generation and operational scale, Exxon is currently overvalued, tr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$159.85 |
$68.90 |
| Zone High |
$181.16 |
$78.09 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|