TSLA vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$400.49
-1.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
VST has more upside to fair value
(+20.9%).
VST trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
VST |
| Current Price |
$400.49 |
$140.58 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$396.15 |
$170.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-1.1%
|
+20.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,504.1B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
334.1x
|
15.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
124.0x
|
9.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
15.4x
|
2.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
214.9x
|
42.5x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+15.8%
|
+20.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
19.1%
|
12.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
5.0%
|
2.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.8%
|
35.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
0.47%
|
2.4%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global electric vehicle manufacturer and energy solutions provider, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company maintains a strong position in the EV market with a unique fast-charging and software ecosystem, although its EV market share is declining amid intensifying competition. Tesla's business quality is medium due to its narrowing moat and modest profitability, with…
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$297.11 |
$128.00 |
| Zone High |
$336.73 |
$145.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|