TSLA vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$372.11
+45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
VST |
| Current Price |
$372.11 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$539.56 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,469.7B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
121.7x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.2x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
209.1x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+25.5%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
18.9%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
4.2%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.6%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
0.48%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, operating through Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments with 134,785 full-time employees and a market capitalization of $1,469.67 billion at a share price of $372.11. The business quality is mixed: revenue grew 25.5% year over year in the most recent quarter, but earnings fell …
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$404.67 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$458.63 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|