TSLA vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-06-20.
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$400.49
-1.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$400.49 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$396.15 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-1.1%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,504.1B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
334.1x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
124.0x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
15.4x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
214.9x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+15.8%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
19.1%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
5.0%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.8%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
0.47%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global electric vehicle manufacturer and energy solutions provider, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company maintains a strong position in the EV market with a unique fast-charging and software ecosystem, although its EV market share is declining amid intensifying competition. Tesla's business quality is medium due to its narrowing moat and modest profitability, with…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$297.11 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$336.73 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|