TSLA vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$387.51
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+21.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+21.2%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.1x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$387.51 |
$101.69 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$213.13 |
$123.28 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-45.0%
|
+21.2%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,454.1B |
$86.4B |
| Forward P/E |
330.0x
|
15.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
122.9x
|
9.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
15.3x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
233.8x
|
17.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-3.1%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
18.0%
|
18.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
4.6%
|
9.56%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.8%
|
34.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.41% |
| FCF Yield |
0.43%
|
5.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of electric vehicles, energy storage, and solar products, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company has a mixed business quality profile with a strong brand and innovation leadership but faces significant challenges including declining automotive revenue, which fell nearly 10% year-over-year in 2025, and a 3.1% revenue decline in the most recent qua…
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$159.85 |
$92.46 |
| Zone High |
$181.16 |
$104.79 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|