TSLA vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Tesla, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. โ fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
Tesla, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$372.11
+45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. ยท Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs โ not personalized investment advice.
See all research โ
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
TSLA |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$372.11 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$539.56 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,469.7B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
โ
|
โ
|
| EV / EBITDA |
121.7x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.2x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
209.1x
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+25.5%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
18.9%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
4.2%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
4.6%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
0.48%
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Tesla, Inc. designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, operating through Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments with 134,785 full-time employees and a market capitalization of $1,469.67 billion at a share price of $372.11. The business quality is mixed: revenue grew 25.5% year over year in the most recent quarter, but earnings fell โฆ
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume cโฆ
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
TSLA |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$404.67 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$458.63 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|