SMCI vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Super Micro Computer, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$30.66
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
SMCI trades at a lower forward P/E
(14.7x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
SMCI |
VST |
| Current Price |
$30.66 |
$140.58 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$44.46 |
$170.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+20.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$18.4B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
14.7x
|
15.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
13.6x
|
9.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
0.6x
|
2.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
-2.7x
|
42.5x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+122.7%
|
+20.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
8.4%
|
12.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
4.5%
|
2.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
18.2%
|
35.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
—
|
2.4%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems, with a strong focus on AI infrastructure. The business quality is medium due to its founder-led management with over 30 years of tenure, a widening moat driven by systems engineering and close partnerships with Nvidia, and rapid revenue growth of 122.7% in the most recent quarter. However, the company f…
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
SMCI |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$33.34 |
$128.00 |
| Zone High |
$37.79 |
$145.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|