SMCI vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Super Micro Computer, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$43.26
-4.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value
(-4.2%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
SMCI |
VST |
| Current Price |
$43.26 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$41.44 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-4.2%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$28.0B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
8.9x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
0.7x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
—
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+93.2%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
10.8%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
7.1%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
25.1%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
—
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Super Micro Computer designs and sells modular, open-standard server and storage systems, with a growing franchise in liquid- and air-cooled AI racks such as the NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72, sold through direct, distribution and OEM channels to data center, cloud, AI, 5G and edge customers. The business quality is mixed: revenue grew 93.2% year over year and earnings grew 503.7% in the most recent qu…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
SMCI |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$31.08 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$35.22 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|