SMCI vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Super Micro Computer, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-18.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$28.56
+435.6% upside to fair value
Grade B
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+27.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value
(+435.6%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.1x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
SMCI |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$28.56 |
$101.69 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$152.97 |
$130.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+435.6%
|
+27.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$17.1B |
$86.4B |
| Forward P/E |
19.5x
|
15.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
15.0x
|
9.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
0.6x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
38.9x
|
17.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+152.8%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
8.0%
|
18.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
3.7%
|
9.56%
|
| Return on Equity |
13.3%
|
34.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.41% |
| FCF Yield |
2.57%
|
5.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems with a dominant focus on AI GPU platforms that now drive over 70% of its revenues. The company benefits from a founder-led management team with deep industry expertise and long tenure, and it has scaled rapidly with revenue growth exceeding 150% year-over-year. Despite this explosive growth, profitabilit…
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
SMCI |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$114.73 |
$95.00 |
| Zone High |
$130.02 |
$112.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|