SMCI vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Super Micro Computer, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$43.26
-4.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+21.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
SMCI |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$43.26 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$41.44 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-4.2%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$28.0B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
8.9x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
0.7x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
—
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+93.2%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
10.8%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
7.1%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
25.1%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
—
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Super Micro Computer designs and sells modular, open-standard server and storage systems, with a growing franchise in liquid- and air-cooled AI racks such as the NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72, sold through direct, distribution and OEM channels to data center, cloud, AI, 5G and edge customers. The business quality is mixed: revenue grew 93.2% year over year and earnings grew 503.7% in the most recent qu…
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
SMCI |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$31.08 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$35.22 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|