SMCI vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Super Micro Computer, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-06-20.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$30.66
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
SMCI trades at a lower forward P/E
(14.7x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
SMCI |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$30.66 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$44.46 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$18.4B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
14.7x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
13.6x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
0.6x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
-2.7x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+122.7%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
8.4%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
4.5%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
18.2%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
—
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems, with a strong focus on AI infrastructure. The business quality is medium due to its founder-led management with over 30 years of tenure, a widening moat driven by systems engineering and close partnerships with Nvidia, and rapid revenue growth of 122.7% in the most recent quarter. However, the company f…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
SMCI |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$33.34 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$37.79 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|