SBUX vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Starbucks Corporation and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-08-06.
Starbucks Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$100.65
-6.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
VST has more upside to fair value (+20.9%). VST trades at a lower forward P/E (15.4x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric SBUX VST
Current Price $100.65 $140.58
Fair Value Estimate $94.50 $170.00
Upside to Fair Value -6.1% +20.9%
Market Cap $114.7B $47.4B
Forward P/E 76.7x 15.4x
EV / EBITDA 25.6x 9.3x
Price / Sales 3.0x 2.9x
Price / FCF 42.1x 42.5x
Revenue Growth YoY +8.8% +20.0%
Gross Margin 20.4% 12.7%
Operating Margin 9.3% 2.1%
Return on Equity -18.3% 35.0%
Dividend Yield 0% 0.65%
FCF Yield 2.38% 2.4%
Analyst Consensus Hold Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
SBUX — Starbucks Corporation
Starbucks Corporation operates a global coffeehouse chain with a strong brand and a leading digital/mobile platform, serving approximately 90 million customers weekly through over 28,000 stores in 77 countries. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat based on its extensive store footprint, brand recognition, and digital engagement rather than proprietary products. Despite solid reven…
VST — Vistra Corp.
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
Metric SBUX VST
Zone Low $70.88 $128.00
Zone High $80.33 $145.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
← SBUX Research    VST Research →    All Research