QCOM vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of QUALCOMM Incorporated and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-16.
QUALCOMM Incorporated · Technology
$134.47
+77.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+27.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
QCOM has more upside to fair value (+77.7%). UPS trades at a lower forward P/E (15.1x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric QCOM UPS
Current Price $134.47 $101.69
Fair Value Estimate $239.00 $130.00
Upside to Fair Value +77.7% +27.8%
Market Cap $143.6B $86.4B
Forward P/E 26.8x 15.1x
EV / EBITDA 9.1x
Price / Sales 3.2x 0.9x
Price / FCF 11.1x 17.7x
Revenue Growth YoY +8.7% -2.5%
Gross Margin 55.1% 18.5%
Operating Margin 27.1% 9.56%
Return on Equity 21.6% 34.3%
Dividend Yield 6.41%
FCF Yield 9.0% 5.66%
Analyst Consensus Hold Hold
Investment Thesis
QCOM — QUALCOMM Incorporated
Qualcomm Incorporated is a leading semiconductor company specializing in wireless chipsets and IP licensing, with dominant positions in 5G modems via QCT (87% of revenue) and steady QTL royalties. The business excels through a vast patent moat, diversification into automotive and IoT, and robust growth (revenue +13% YoY to $44B in FY2025), but faces risks from Apple modem shifts and China exposur…
UPS — United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
Metric QCOM UPS
Zone Low $179.00 $95.00
Zone High $203.00 $112.00
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
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