PLTR vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Palantir Technologies Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-16.
Palantir Technologies Inc. · Technology
$142.76
-24.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+27.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+27.8%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.1x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
PLTR |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$142.76 |
$101.69 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$108.00 |
$130.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-24.3%
|
+27.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$327.1B |
$86.4B |
| Forward P/E |
209.7x
|
15.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
—
|
9.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
73.1x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
155.7x
|
17.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+19.1%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
82.4%
|
18.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
31.6%
|
9.56%
|
| Return on Equity |
25.7%
|
34.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
— |
6.41% |
| FCF Yield |
0.6%
|
5.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Palantir Technologies develops data analytics and AI software platforms like Gotham and Foundry for government and commercial clients. The business excels with high margins (gross 82.4%, net 36.3%), accelerating growth (Q4 FY2025 revenue up 70% YoY to $1.41B, 2026 guidance $7.19B implying 61% growth), and strong moats in defense and enterprise AI, but trades expensively at 73x P/S versus 5-year m…
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
PLTR |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$81.00 |
$95.00 |
| Zone High |
$92.00 |
$112.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|