NVDA vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of NVIDIA Corporation and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology
$225.07
+45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
NVDA has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
NVDA |
VST |
| Current Price |
$225.07 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$326.35 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$5,451.4B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
23.4x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
18.0x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
42.9x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+105.9%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
74.7%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
65.2%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
110.1%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.23% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
2.33%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
NVIDIA designs the accelerated computing platforms at the center of the AI buildout, spanning data center GPUs, Mellanox networking, AI enterprise software, gaming GeForce GPUs, professional visualization, and automotive platforms, with 42,000 employees and a $5.45 trillion market capitalization. Business quality is exceptional on the fundamentals: TTM gross margin of 74.7%, TTM operating margin …
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
NVDA |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$244.76 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$277.40 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|