NVDA vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of NVIDIA Corporation and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology
$182.08
+59.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A-
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+27.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
NVDA has more upside to fair value
(+59.3%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
NVDA |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$182.08 |
$101.69 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$290.00 |
$130.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+59.3%
|
+27.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$4,425.5B |
$86.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
15.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
31.4x
|
9.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
21.0x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
46.9x
|
17.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+65.5%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
71.1%
|
18.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
60.4%
|
9.56%
|
| Return on Equity |
76.3%
|
34.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.02% |
6.41% |
| FCF Yield |
2.13%
|
5.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
NVIDIA is the foundational infrastructure layer of the AI era. Data Center revenue reached $193.7B in FY2026, up 66% YoY, powered by insatiable demand for Blackwell B200 GPUs across hyperscalers and sovereign AI programs. The company generates $96.7B in annual free cash flow with 71% gross margins and 56% net margins, making it the most profitable semiconductor business in history. At P/E 37.7x v…
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
NVDA |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$218.00 |
$95.00 |
| Zone High |
$250.00 |
$112.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|