NVDA vs SMCI: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of NVIDIA Corporation and Super Micro Computer, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-18.
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology
$182.08
+59.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A-
VS
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$28.56
+435.6% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value (+435.6%). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric NVDA SMCI
Current Price $182.08 $28.56
Fair Value Estimate $290.00 $152.97
Upside to Fair Value +59.3% +435.6%
Market Cap $4,425.5B $17.1B
Forward P/E 19.5x
EV / EBITDA 31.4x 15.0x
Price / Sales 21.0x 0.6x
Price / FCF 46.9x 38.9x
Revenue Growth YoY +65.5% +152.8%
Gross Margin 71.1% 8.0%
Operating Margin 60.4% 3.7%
Return on Equity 76.3% 13.3%
Dividend Yield 0.02% 0%
FCF Yield 2.13% 2.57%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation
NVIDIA is the foundational infrastructure layer of the AI era. Data Center revenue reached $193.7B in FY2026, up 66% YoY, powered by insatiable demand for Blackwell B200 GPUs across hyperscalers and sovereign AI programs. The company generates $96.7B in annual free cash flow with 71% gross margins and 56% net margins, making it the most profitable semiconductor business in history. At P/E 37.7x v…
SMCI — Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems with a dominant focus on AI GPU platforms that now drive over 70% of its revenues. The company benefits from a founder-led management team with deep industry expertise and long tenure, and it has scaled rapidly with revenue growth exceeding 150% year-over-year. Despite this explosive growth, profitabilit…
Accumulation Zones
Metric NVDA SMCI
Zone Low $218.00 $114.73
Zone High $250.00 $130.02
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
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