NKE vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of NIKE, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
NIKE, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$41.05
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
NKE has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
VST trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
NKE |
VST |
| Current Price |
$41.05 |
$140.58 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$59.52 |
$170.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+20.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$60.7B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
19.6x
|
15.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
14.2x
|
9.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.3x
|
2.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
57.9x
|
42.5x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-1.1%
|
+20.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
42.9%
|
12.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.2%
|
2.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
22.0%
|
35.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
1.73%
|
2.4%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
NIKE, Inc. is a leading global athletic footwear and apparel company with a durable competitive moat supported by its strong brand, scale, and global distribution infrastructure. The company is currently led by CEO Elliott Hill, a seasoned Nike veteran who returned in October 2024 to navigate intensifying competition and channel complexity. Despite its market leadership and solid profitability me…
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
NKE |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$44.64 |
$128.00 |
| Zone High |
$50.59 |
$145.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|