NKE vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of NIKE, Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
NIKE, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$42.62
+45.5% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$365.90
-3.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
NKE has more upside to fair value
(+45.5%).
TSM trades at a lower forward P/E
(26.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
NKE |
TSM |
| Current Price |
$42.62 |
$365.90 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$62.00 |
$352.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.5%
|
-3.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$63.0B |
$1,897.7B |
| Forward P/E |
27.9x
|
26.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
20.7x
|
18.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.4x
|
13.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
19.4x
|
54.0x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-9.8%
|
+33.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
42.7%
|
59.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.0%
|
50.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
24.4%
|
35.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.8% |
1.05% |
| FCF Yield |
5.2%
|
1.85%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel company with $46.3B in FY2025 revenue, operating across 190+ countries with the Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. The stock trades near its 9-year low at $42.62 after an 11% single-day crash following a Q3 FY2026 earnings report that showed 35% net income decline and weak Q4 guidance calling for a further 2-4% revenue decline. FY2025 reve…
TSMC remains the single most critical company in the global semiconductor supply chain, manufacturing virtually every leading-edge AI chip for NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and the hyperscalers. The company delivered exceptional 2025 results with 33% revenue growth and 50% net income growth, driven by HPC surging to 55% of Q4 revenue. At the 3nm node, TSMC maintains production yields of 70-80% versus Samsu…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
NKE |
TSM |
| Zone Low |
$44.00 |
$265.00 |
| Zone High |
$50.00 |
$310.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|