NBIS vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Nebius Group N.V. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Nebius Group N.V. · Technology
$218.99
+11.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C+
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
NBIS |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$218.99 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$245.00 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+11.9%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$52.6B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
—
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
59.9x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
—
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+684.0%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
48.0%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
-68.8%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
—
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
-4.7%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Nebius Group is a fast-scaling neocloud GPU infrastructure provider spun out of Yandex's international assets, positioned at the center of the AI compute buildout with a validated capital relationship to Nvidia, which holds a 9.3% stake following a $2 billion investment. Revenue grew 684% year over year in Q1 2026 to $399 million, core AI cloud ARR reached $1.92 billion, and the company has locke…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
NBIS |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$184.00 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$208.00 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|