NBIS vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Nebius Group N.V. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
Nebius Group N.V. · Technology
$217.99
+45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
NBIS has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
NBIS |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$217.99 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$316.09 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$52.3B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
56.8x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
38.6x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
—
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+454.0%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
58.6%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
-49.3%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
0.9%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
—
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Nebius Group N.V. is an Amsterdam-based AI infrastructure company, formerly Yandex N.V., that builds end-to-end GPU cloud clusters, cloud platforms and developer tools for demanding AI workloads, alongside Toloka AI data solutions, TripleTen education and Avride autonomous driving. The business is growing explosively, with revenue up 454.0% year over year in the most recent quarter, and it has de…
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
NBIS |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$237.07 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$268.68 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|