MSFT vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Microsoft Corporation and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
Microsoft Corporation · Technology
$497.12
+41.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
MSFT has more upside to fair value
(+41.3%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MSFT |
VST |
| Current Price |
$497.12 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$702.35 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+41.3%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$3,691.4B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
18.3x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
11.1x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
55.1x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+17.7%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
67.9%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
46.8%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
33.2%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.73% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
1.81%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Microsoft is a global infrastructure-software platform spanning Azure, Microsoft 365, security, Dynamics, Windows, GitHub and AI copilots, with high business quality supported by enterprise distribution, explicitly cited switching costs, a $678 billion commercial RPO balance, 67.9% TTM gross margin, 46.8% TTM operating margin, 40.3% TTM net margin and 33.2% ROE. Revenue grew 17.7% and earnings gr…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MSFT |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$526.76 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$597.00 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|