MSFT vs NBIS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Microsoft Corporation and Nebius Group N.V. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-18.
Microsoft Corporation · Technology
$497.12
+41.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A
High Quality
VS
Nebius Group N.V. · Technology
$217.99
+45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
NBIS has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MSFT |
NBIS |
| Current Price |
$497.12 |
$217.99 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$702.35 |
$316.09 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+41.3%
|
+45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$3,691.4B |
$52.3B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
18.3x
|
56.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
11.1x
|
38.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
55.1x
|
—
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+17.7%
|
+454.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
67.9%
|
58.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
46.8%
|
-49.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
33.2%
|
0.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.73% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.81%
|
—
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Microsoft is a global infrastructure-software platform spanning Azure, Microsoft 365, security, Dynamics, Windows, GitHub and AI copilots, with high business quality supported by enterprise distribution, explicitly cited switching costs, a $678 billion commercial RPO balance, 67.9% TTM gross margin, 46.8% TTM operating margin, 40.3% TTM net margin and 33.2% ROE. Revenue grew 17.7% and earnings gr…
Nebius Group N.V. is an Amsterdam-based AI infrastructure company, formerly Yandex N.V., that builds end-to-end GPU cloud clusters, cloud platforms and developer tools for demanding AI workloads, alongside Toloka AI data solutions, TripleTen education and Avride autonomous driving. The business is growing explosively, with revenue up 454.0% year over year in the most recent quarter, and it has de…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MSFT |
NBIS |
| Zone Low |
$526.76 |
$237.07 |
| Zone High |
$597.00 |
$268.68 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|