MELI vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of MercadoLibre, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-06-20.
MercadoLibre, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$1,635.15
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
MELI has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MELI |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$1,635.15 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,370.97 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$82.9B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
43.2x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
27.0x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.7x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+49.0%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
43.9%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
9.6%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
29.6%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
12.92%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
MercadoLibre is a leading Latin American e-commerce and fintech platform with a durable competitive moat driven by its integrated logistics and financial services stack. The company commands approximately 30 to 35 percent market share in e-commerce and over 30 percent in online payments in key markets like Brazil. It is founder-influenced with a long-tenured management team and reinvests heavily …
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MELI |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$1,778.23 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$2,015.32 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|