MELI vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of MercadoLibre, Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
MercadoLibre, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$1,828.94
+25.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
MELI has more upside to fair value
(+25.8%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MELI |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$1,828.94 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,300.00 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+25.8%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$92.7B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
33.0x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.4x
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+49.8%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
42.7%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.3%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
26.5%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
13.44%
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
MercadoLibre operates Latin America's leading ecommerce marketplace alongside Mercado Pago payments, credit, logistics, advertising and loyalty products, creating a broad ecosystem with meaningful network effects and cross-sell. Business momentum remains strong: revenue and financial income grew 49.8% year over year in the most recent quarter to $10.169 billion, GMV increased 44%, TPV rose 56%, a…
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MELI |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$1,725.00 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$1,955.00 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|