MCD vs UNH: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of McDonald's Corporation and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$305.68
+4.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
VS
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated · Healthcare
$304.33
+41.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
UNH has more upside to fair value (+41.3%). UNH trades at a lower forward P/E (15.1x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric MCD UNH
Current Price $305.68 $304.33
Fair Value Estimate $320.00 $430.00
Upside to Fair Value +4.7% +41.3%
Market Cap $218.1B $276.2B
Forward P/E 24.5x 15.1x
EV / EBITDA 18.6x 14.3x
Price / Sales 8.1x 0.6x
Price / FCF 30.3x 17.2x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.7% +11.8%
Gross Margin 57.4% 18.5%
Operating Margin 46.1% 4.2%
Return on Equity 12.7%
Dividend Yield 2.4% 2.9%
FCF Yield 3.3% 5.82%
Analyst Consensus Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
MCD — McDonald's Corporation
McDonald's operates the world's largest quick-service restaurant franchise with over 40,000 locations across 100+ countries, generating $26.9B in FY2025 revenue with roughly 60% from franchised operations. The asset-light franchise model produces 46% operating margins and $7.2B in annual free cash flow. Revenue growth reaccelerated modestly to 3.7% in FY2025 from 1.7% in FY2024, driven by the Int…
UNH — UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UnitedHealth Group is the world's largest diversified healthcare company, combining the dominant US health insurer UnitedHealthcare with the high-margin Optum services platform spanning care delivery, pharmacy benefits, and data analytics. The stock has fallen roughly 49% from its 2024 peak of $596, driven by elevated medical costs, DOJ antitrust scrutiny, CEO transitions (Brian Thompson's murder…
Accumulation Zones
Metric MCD UNH
Zone Low $240.00 $280.00
Zone High $272.00 $340.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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