MCD vs NVDA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of McDonald's Corporation and NVIDIA Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$305.68
+4.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology
$182.08
+59.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A-
QuantHub Verdict
NVDA has more upside to fair value
(+59.3%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MCD |
NVDA |
| Current Price |
$305.68 |
$182.08 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$320.00 |
$290.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+4.7%
|
+59.3%
|
| Market Cap |
$218.1B |
$4,425.5B |
| Forward P/E |
24.5x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
18.6x
|
31.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
8.1x
|
21.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
30.3x
|
46.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+3.7%
|
+65.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
57.4%
|
71.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
46.1%
|
60.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
—
|
76.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.4% |
0.02% |
| FCF Yield |
3.3%
|
2.13%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
McDonald's operates the world's largest quick-service restaurant franchise with over 40,000 locations across 100+ countries, generating $26.9B in FY2025 revenue with roughly 60% from franchised operations. The asset-light franchise model produces 46% operating margins and $7.2B in annual free cash flow. Revenue growth reaccelerated modestly to 3.7% in FY2025 from 1.7% in FY2024, driven by the Int…
NVIDIA is the foundational infrastructure layer of the AI era. Data Center revenue reached $193.7B in FY2026, up 66% YoY, powered by insatiable demand for Blackwell B200 GPUs across hyperscalers and sovereign AI programs. The company generates $96.7B in annual free cash flow with 71% gross margins and 56% net margins, making it the most profitable semiconductor business in history. At P/E 37.7x v…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MCD |
NVDA |
| Zone Low |
$240.00 |
$218.00 |
| Zone High |
$272.00 |
$250.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|