MA vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Mastercard Incorporated and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-19.
Mastercard Incorporated · Financial Services
$574.42
+25.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade A-
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value
(+25.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
MA |
VST |
| Current Price |
$574.42 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$718.00 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+25.0%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$503.8B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
23.4x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
30.8x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+14.1%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
100%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
59.8%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
232.5%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.59% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
3.25%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Mastercard operates a global payments network that connects issuers, acquirers, merchants and consumers across more than 200 countries and territories, monetizing payment volumes, cross-border activity and higher-growth value-added services. Business quality is high because its two-sided network, trusted authorization-clearing-settlement infrastructure, brand, security capabilities and broad acce…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
MA |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$538.50 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$610.30 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|