MA vs UNH: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Mastercard Incorporated and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Mastercard Incorporated Β· Financial Services
$498.66
+22.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A-
VS
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated Β· Healthcare
$304.33
+41.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
UNH has more upside to fair value (+41.3%). UNH trades at a lower forward P/E (15.1x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric MA UNH
Current Price $498.66 $304.33
Fair Value Estimate $610.00 $430.00
Upside to Fair Value +22.3% +41.3%
Market Cap $445.0B $276.2B
Forward P/E 25.5x 15.1x
EV / EBITDA 22.4x 14.3x
Price / Sales 13.6x 0.6x
Price / FCF 26.0x 17.2x
Revenue Growth YoY +16.4% +11.8%
Gross Margin 83.4% 18.5%
Operating Margin 59.2% 4.2%
Return on Equity 198.4% 12.7%
Dividend Yield 0.65% 2.9%
FCF Yield 3.84% 5.82%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
MA β€” Mastercard Incorporated
Mastercard operates one of the world's two dominant payment networks, processing over $9 trillion in gross dollar volume annually across 220+ countries. The business generates 83% gross margins and 46% net margins with zero credit risk because Mastercard never lends money, only collecting tolls on every transaction. Value-Added Services (analytics, fraud prevention, cybersecurity) now comprise 41…
UNH β€” UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UnitedHealth Group is the world's largest diversified healthcare company, combining the dominant US health insurer UnitedHealthcare with the high-margin Optum services platform spanning care delivery, pharmacy benefits, and data analytics. The stock has fallen roughly 49% from its 2024 peak of $596, driven by elevated medical costs, DOJ antitrust scrutiny, CEO transitions (Brian Thompson's murder…
Accumulation Zones
Metric MA UNH
Zone Low $460.00 $280.00
Zone High $515.00 $340.00
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
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