MA vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Mastercard Incorporated and Tesla, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-13.
Mastercard Incorporated Β· Financial Services
$499.81
+5.0% upside to fair value
Grade B+ High Quality
VS
Tesla, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$387.51
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value (+5.0%). MA trades at a lower forward P/E (28.6x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric MA TSLA
Current Price $499.81 $387.51
Fair Value Estimate $525.00 $213.13
Upside to Fair Value +5.0% -45.0%
Market Cap $441.6B $1,454.1B
Forward P/E 28.6x 330.0x
EV / EBITDA 21.3x 122.9x
Price / Sales 13.0x 15.3x
Price / FCF 24.9x 233.8x
Revenue Growth YoY +15.8% -3.1%
Gross Margin 83.0% 18.0%
Operating Margin 59.4% 4.6%
Return on Equity 206.1% 4.8%
Dividend Yield 0.6% 0%
FCF Yield 4.01% 0.43%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
MA β€” Mastercard Incorporated
Mastercard is one of two global payment network duopolists alongside Visa, with structurally high margins (83% gross, 59% operating, 46% net), powerful network effects, and durable secular tailwinds from the ongoing cash-to-card and card-to-digital migration. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $8.40 billion (+15.8% YoY) and EPS of $4.35 (+20.8% YoY), driven by continued cross-bor…
TSLA β€” Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of electric vehicles, energy storage, and solar products, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company has a mixed business quality profile with a strong brand and innovation leadership but faces significant challenges including declining automotive revenue, which fell nearly 10% year-over-year in 2025, and a 3.1% revenue decline in the most recent qua…
Accumulation Zones
Metric MA TSLA
Zone Low $393.75 $159.85
Zone High $446.25 $181.16
In Buy Zone? No No
← MA Research    TSLA Research β†’    All Research