MA vs MSFT: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Mastercard Incorporated and Microsoft Corporation โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-09-16.
Mastercard Incorporated ยท Financial Services
$574.42
+25.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade A- High Quality
VS
Microsoft Corporation ยท Technology
$497.12
+41.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MSFT has more upside to fair value (+41.3%). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric MA MSFT
Current Price $574.42 $497.12
Fair Value Estimate $718.00 $702.35
Upside to Fair Value +25.0% +41.3%
Market Cap $503.8B $3,691.4B
Forward P/E โ€” โ€”
EV / EBITDA 23.4x 18.3x
Price / Sales 14.4x 11.1x
Price / FCF 30.8x 55.1x
Revenue Growth YoY +14.1% +17.7%
Gross Margin 100% 67.9%
Operating Margin 59.8% 46.8%
Return on Equity 232.5% 33.2%
Dividend Yield 0.59% 0.73%
FCF Yield 3.25% 1.81%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
MA โ€” Mastercard Incorporated
Mastercard operates a global payments network that connects issuers, acquirers, merchants and consumers across more than 200 countries and territories, monetizing payment volumes, cross-border activity and higher-growth value-added services. Business quality is high because its two-sided network, trusted authorization-clearing-settlement infrastructure, brand, security capabilities and broad acceโ€ฆ
MSFT โ€” Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft is a global infrastructure-software platform spanning Azure, Microsoft 365, security, Dynamics, Windows, GitHub and AI copilots, with high business quality supported by enterprise distribution, explicitly cited switching costs, a $678 billion commercial RPO balance, 67.9% TTM gross margin, 46.8% TTM operating margin, 40.3% TTM net margin and 33.2% ROE. Revenue grew 17.7% and earnings grโ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric MA MSFT
Zone Low $538.50 $526.76
Zone High $610.30 $597.00
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
โ† MA Research    MSFT Research โ†’    All Research