MA vs MS: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Mastercard Incorporated and Morgan Stanley β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-13.
Mastercard Incorporated Β· Financial Services
$499.81
+5.0% upside to fair value
Grade B+ High Quality
VS
Morgan Stanley Β· Financial Services
$189.30
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MS has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). MS trades at a lower forward P/E (16.4x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric MA MS
Current Price $499.81 $189.30
Fair Value Estimate $525.00 $274.49
Upside to Fair Value +5.0% +45.0%
Market Cap $441.6B $300.6B
Forward P/E 28.6x 16.4x
EV / EBITDA 21.3x 24.4x
Price / Sales 13.0x 2.5x
Price / FCF 24.9x -16.8x
Revenue Growth YoY +15.8% +18.8%
Gross Margin 83.0% 58.0%
Operating Margin 59.4% 19.5%
Return on Equity 206.1% 16.7%
Dividend Yield 0.6% 0%
FCF Yield 4.01% β€”
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
MA β€” Mastercard Incorporated
Mastercard is one of two global payment network duopolists alongside Visa, with structurally high margins (83% gross, 59% operating, 46% net), powerful network effects, and durable secular tailwinds from the ongoing cash-to-card and card-to-digital migration. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $8.40 billion (+15.8% YoY) and EPS of $4.35 (+20.8% YoY), driven by continued cross-bor…
MS β€” Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley is a leading global financial services firm operating in Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its systemically important status, diversified revenue streams, and strong management with a 36-year veteran CEO. Despite solid fundamentals including 14.2% revenue growth in 2025 and 16.7%…
Accumulation Zones
Metric MA MS
Zone Low $393.75 $205.87
Zone High $446.25 $233.32
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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