LLY vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Eli Lilly and Company and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-01.
Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare
$934.34
+17.6% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$101.69
+21.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+21.2%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.1x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
LLY |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$934.34 |
$101.69 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,098.43 |
$123.28 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+17.6%
|
+21.2%
|
| Market Cap |
$882.8B |
$86.4B |
| Forward P/E |
33.1x
|
15.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
27.9x
|
9.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
12.2x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
65.0x
|
17.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+55.5%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
82.7%
|
18.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
46.3%
|
9.56%
|
| Return on Equity |
101.3%
|
34.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
6.41% |
| FCF Yield |
1.54%
|
5.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Eli Lilly and Company is a leading global pharmaceutical firm with a dominant position in the diabetes and obesity markets, driven by its blockbuster GLP-1 drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound which generated $36.5 billion in FY2025. The company reported $65.2 billion in total revenue for 2025, making it the top pharma by revenue globally. It exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat …
UPS is the world's largest integrated logistics network with 241,250 employees, operations in 200-plus countries, and 20.8 million packages per day, now in the decisive phase of its most consequential restructuring in 118 years. By deliberately cutting Amazon volume by more than 50 percent (Amazon was 10.6 percent of 2025 revenue), closing 22 to 24 facilities, and eliminating 30,000 positions, ma…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
LLY |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$823.82 |
$92.46 |
| Zone High |
$933.67 |
$104.79 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|