LLY vs UNH: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Eli Lilly and Company and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-17.
Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare
$1,179.09
+31.7% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A
High Quality
VS
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated · Healthcare
$423.38
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
UNH has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
LLY |
UNH |
| Current Price |
$1,179.09 |
$423.38 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,552.32 |
$613.90 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+31.7%
|
+45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$1,110.4B |
$384.5B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
27.2x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
34.3x
|
13.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.6x
|
0.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
77.7x
|
19.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+55.5%
|
+0.4%
|
| Gross Margin |
83.5%
|
18.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
45.9%
|
4.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
101.3%
|
12.4%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.55% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.29%
|
5.12%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Eli Lilly is a global biopharma company whose exceptionally profitable cardiometabolic franchises, led by Mounjaro and Zepbound, are driving a high-quality growth phase: revenue rose 55.5% year over year and earnings rose 168.0% year over year in the most recent quarter, while gross, operating, and net margins were 83.5%, 45.9%, and 35.0%, respectively. Business quality is high because tirzepatid…
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated operates in the healthcare sector, specifically within medical and healthcare plans, providing a durable business model supported by a strong competitive moat and consistent earnings growth. The company currently trades at a price of $423.38 with a market cap of $359.873 billion, reflecting a valuation that is cheap relative to its five-year history, supported by a…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
LLY |
UNH |
| Zone Low |
$1,164.24 |
$460.42 |
| Zone High |
$1,319.47 |
$521.81 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|