HON vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Honeywell International Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corporation โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Honeywell International Inc. ยท Industrials
$235.04
-9.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation ยท Energy
$152.30
-33.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade C+
QuantHub Verdict
HON has more upside to fair value (-9.9%). XOM trades at a lower forward P/E (17.5x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HON XOM
Current Price $235.04 $152.30
Fair Value Estimate $211.73 $102.00
Upside to Fair Value -9.9% -33.0%
Market Cap $149.4B $634.6B
Forward P/E 22.3x 17.5x
EV / EBITDA 16.9x 9.8x
Price / Sales 4.0x 2.0x
Price / FCF 27.7x 26.9x
Revenue Growth YoY -2.7% -4.5%
Gross Margin 36.9% 21.7%
Operating Margin 17.7% 10.5%
Return on Equity 33.28% 11.1%
Dividend Yield 1.92% 2.65%
FCF Yield 3.61% 3.72%
Analyst Consensus Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
HON โ€” Honeywell International Inc.
Honeywell is a diversified industrial conglomerate in the final stages of a transformative three-way separation into Honeywell Aerospace, Solstice Advanced Materials, and a retained Automation entity, targeting Q3 2026 completion. The business generated 33% ROE and $5.4B in free cash flow on $37.4B revenue in FY2025, supported by a record $37B backlog with 23% organic order growth in Q4. At $235 โ€ฆ
XOM โ€” Exxon Mobil Corporation
Exxon Mobil is a world-class integrated energy supermajor with unmatched Permian Basin scale following the Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition, a high-margin Guyana growth engine, and disciplined capital allocation. However, the stock remains significantly overvalued relative to its own 5-year history on every key metric. At $152, XOM trades at roughly 22x trailing earnings, 1.96x sales, and 27โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric HON XOM
Zone Low $158.80 $77.00
Zone High $179.97 $92.00
In Buy Zone? No No
โ† HON Research    XOM Research โ†’    All Research