HON vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Honeywell International Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
Honeywell International Inc. · Industrials
$212.55
-8.5% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+21.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
HON |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$212.55 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$194.50 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-8.5%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$67.4B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.4x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.9x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
16.4x
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-6.1%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
36.6%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
14.1%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
41.7%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.09% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
6.11%
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Honeywell International Inc. is a 101,000-employee diversified industrial technology and manufacturing conglomerate, led by CEO Vimal Kapur, spanning Aerospace, Building Technologies, Performance Materials and Technologies, and Safety and Productivity Solutions. Business quality is solid but not exceptional: the company carries a durable intangible-asset and switching-cost moat in aerospace avion…
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
HON |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$145.88 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$165.32 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|