HON vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Honeywell International Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-14.
Honeywell International Inc. · Industrials
$222.25
-5.5% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value (+12.9%). HON trades at a lower forward P/E (15.7x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HON UPS
Current Price $222.25 $105.00
Fair Value Estimate $210.05 $118.53
Upside to Fair Value -5.5% +12.9%
Market Cap $70.4B $89.2B
Forward P/E 15.7x 17.0x
EV / EBITDA 13.1x 9.6x
Price / Sales 1.9x 1.0x
Price / FCF 17.1x 19.8x
Revenue Growth YoY -6.9% -1.6%
Gross Margin 36.9% 17.8%
Operating Margin 14.9% 8.5%
Return on Equity 23.6% 33.0%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 5.84% 5.06%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
HON — Honeywell International Inc.
Honeywell International Inc. operates as a diversified industrial conglomerate with a strong presence in multiple sectors including aerospace, building technologies, and performance materials. The company demonstrates high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by strong margins, a 23.6% return on equity, and solid free cash flow generation of $16.78 per share. However, recent…
UPS — United Parcel Service, Inc.
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
Metric HON UPS
Zone Low $157.54 $88.90
Zone High $178.54 $100.75
In Buy Zone? No No
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