HD vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-20.
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$302.44
+22.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$154.46
-40.5% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+22.0%).
HD trades at a lower forward P/E
(20.5x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
HD |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$302.44 |
$154.46 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$369.00 |
$91.87 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+22.0%
|
-40.5%
|
| Market Cap |
$301.2B |
$642.0B |
| Forward P/E |
20.5x
|
23.2x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
16.5x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.0x
|
2.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
26.6x
|
27.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+4.8%
|
-1.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.3%
|
21.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
12.7%
|
10.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
110.5%
|
11.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.72% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
3.75%
|
3.68%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and an expanding Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. Q1 FY2026 results released May 19 beat both the top and bottom line, with revenue of $41.77B up 4.8% year over year and adjusted EPS of $3.43 versus the $3.41 consensus. Comp sales grew only 0.6% howe…
Exxon Mobil Corporation operates as a global integrated oil and gas company with significant operations in upstream, energy products, chemical products, and specialty products segments. The company benefits from a highly experienced management team with decades of internal tenure, led by CEO Darren Woods. Despite strong cash flow generation and operational scale, Exxon is currently overvalued, tr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
HD |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$276.75 |
$68.90 |
| Zone High |
$313.65 |
$78.09 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|