HD vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$343.30
+34.6% upside to fair value
Grade A
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+34.6%).
VST trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
HD |
VST |
| Current Price |
$343.30 |
$140.58 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$462.14 |
$170.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+34.6%
|
+20.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$342.3B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
24.3x
|
15.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
16.5x
|
9.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.0x
|
2.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
23.9x
|
42.5x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+4.8%
|
+20.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
12.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
12.4%
|
2.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
113.3%
|
35.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
4.18%
|
2.4%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a leading home improvement retailer in the consumer cyclical sector, leveraging a strong brand and cost advantages to maintain a durable competitive moat. Despite a modest revenue growth of 4.8% and a decline in earnings by 4.2% in the most recent quarter, the company exhibits exceptional profitability metrics including a 113.3% return on equity and solid margins …
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
HD |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$346.61 |
$128.00 |
| Zone High |
$392.82 |
$145.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|