HD vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-25.
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$292.18
+44.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+44.2%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
HD |
VST |
| Current Price |
$292.18 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$421.26 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+44.2%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$291.3B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
14.7x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.7x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
19.2x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+5.7%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.2%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
12.4%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
102.7%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.18% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
5.2%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
The Home Depot is the largest home-improvement retailer in the United States, operating a network of roughly 2,300 stores supported by about 472,400 full-time employees, and serving both do-it-yourself homeowners and professional contractors through stores, homedepot.com, and specialty sites such as blinds.com. The business quality is high: it generates a 102.7% return on equity, a 33.2% trailing…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
HD |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$315.94 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$358.07 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|