HD vs UNH: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-20.
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$302.44
+22.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
VS
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated · Healthcare
$353.52
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
UNH has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). HD trades at a lower forward P/E (20.5x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HD UNH
Current Price $302.44 $353.52
Fair Value Estimate $369.00 $512.60
Upside to Fair Value +22.0% +45.0%
Market Cap $301.2B $320.9B
Forward P/E 20.5x 26.7x
EV / EBITDA 16.5x 16.1x
Price / Sales 2.0x 0.7x
Price / FCF 26.6x 16.3x
Revenue Growth YoY +4.8% +2.0%
Gross Margin 33.3% 18.8%
Operating Margin 12.7% 4.2%
Return on Equity 110.5% 12.4%
Dividend Yield 2.72% 0%
FCF Yield 3.75% 6.13%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
HD — The Home Depot, Inc.
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and an expanding Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. Q1 FY2026 results released May 19 beat both the top and bottom line, with revenue of $41.77B up 4.8% year over year and adjusted EPS of $3.43 versus the $3.41 consensus. Comp sales grew only 0.6% howe…
UNH — UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated operates as a leading healthcare company with two main platforms: UnitedHealthcare, providing health benefits coverage, and Optum, offering information and technology services. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat due to its scale, integrated platforms, and broad market reach serving over 170 million consumers. Despite strong revenue growth of 12% y…
Accumulation Zones
Metric HD UNH
Zone Low $276.75 $384.45
Zone High $313.65 $435.71
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
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