HD vs UNH: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
The Home Depot, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$337.34
+12.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
VS
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated Β· Healthcare
$304.33
+41.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
UNH has more upside to fair value (+41.3%). UNH trades at a lower forward P/E (15.1x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HD UNH
Current Price $337.34 $304.33
Fair Value Estimate $378.00 $430.00
Upside to Fair Value +12.1% +41.3%
Market Cap $336.0B $276.2B
Forward P/E 23.0x 15.1x
EV / EBITDA 18.1x 14.3x
Price / Sales 2.3x 0.6x
Price / FCF 29.7x 17.2x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.2% +11.8%
Gross Margin 33.3% 18.5%
Operating Margin 12.7% 4.2%
Return on Equity 110.5% 12.7%
Dividend Yield 2.44% 2.9%
FCF Yield 3.37% 5.82%
Analyst Consensus Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
HD β€” The Home Depot, Inc.
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and a rapidly growing Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. The stock has declined 21% from its $427 high to $337, but now trades at 2.28x P/S, near the 5-year median of 2.31x, and 26.5x P/E which is above the 5-year median of 23.5x. EPS declined 4.6% in …
UNH β€” UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UnitedHealth Group is the world's largest diversified healthcare company, combining the dominant US health insurer UnitedHealthcare with the high-margin Optum services platform spanning care delivery, pharmacy benefits, and data analytics. The stock has fallen roughly 49% from its 2024 peak of $596, driven by elevated medical costs, DOJ antitrust scrutiny, CEO transitions (Brian Thompson's murder…
Accumulation Zones
Metric HD UNH
Zone Low $285.00 $280.00
Zone High $320.00 $340.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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