HD vs SMCI: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Super Micro Computer, Inc. โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-20.
The Home Depot, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$302.44
+22.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
VS
Super Micro Computer, Inc. ยท Technology
$34.66
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). SMCI trades at a lower forward P/E (11.6x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HD SMCI
Current Price $302.44 $34.66
Fair Value Estimate $369.00 $50.26
Upside to Fair Value +22.0% +45.0%
Market Cap $301.2B $20.8B
Forward P/E 20.5x 11.6x
EV / EBITDA 16.5x 17.9x
Price / Sales 2.0x 0.6x
Price / FCF 26.6x -3.0x
Revenue Growth YoY +4.8% +122.7%
Gross Margin 33.3% 8.4%
Operating Margin 12.7% 4.5%
Return on Equity 110.5% 26.0%
Dividend Yield 2.72% 0%
FCF Yield 3.75% โ€”
Analyst Consensus Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
HD โ€” The Home Depot, Inc.
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and an expanding Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. Q1 FY2026 results released May 19 beat both the top and bottom line, with revenue of $41.77B up 4.8% year over year and adjusted EPS of $3.43 versus the $3.41 consensus. Comp sales grew only 0.6% howeโ€ฆ
SMCI โ€” Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems, with a dominant 97% revenue share from this segment driven by AI and cloud infrastructure demand. The company benefits from a founder-led management team with deep engineering expertise and strong insider ownership of approximately 46-48%, aligning interests with shareholders. Despite explosive revenue โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric HD SMCI
Zone Low $276.75 $37.70
Zone High $313.65 $42.72
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
โ† HD Research    SMCI Research โ†’    All Research