HD vs MSFT: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Microsoft Corporation โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
The Home Depot, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$337.34
+12.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
VS
Microsoft Corporation ยท Technology
$372.20
+32.4% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A
QuantHub Verdict
MSFT has more upside to fair value (+32.4%). MSFT trades at a lower forward P/E (22.0x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HD MSFT
Current Price $337.34 $372.20
Fair Value Estimate $378.00 $493.00
Upside to Fair Value +12.1% +32.4%
Market Cap $336.0B $2,763.6B
Forward P/E 23.0x 22.0x
EV / EBITDA 18.1x 17.5x
Price / Sales 2.3x 9.1x
Price / FCF 29.7x 35.8x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.2% +14.9%
Gross Margin 33.3% 68.8%
Operating Margin 12.7% 45.6%
Return on Equity 110.5% 29.6%
Dividend Yield 2.44% 0.94%
FCF Yield 3.37% 2.8%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
HD โ€” The Home Depot, Inc.
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and a rapidly growing Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. The stock has declined 21% from its $427 high to $337, but now trades at 2.28x P/S, near the 5-year median of 2.31x, and 26.5x P/E which is above the 5-year median of 23.5x. EPS declined 4.6% in โ€ฆ
MSFT โ€” Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft is the world's largest software company, operating a three-pillar empire across cloud (Azure), productivity (Office 365/Teams), and personal computing (Windows/Xbox). Azure is the second-largest cloud platform globally with 24% market share and growing at 38-39% in constant currency, while Microsoft Cloud revenue crossed $168.9B in FY2025. The stock has dropped 33% from its highs to $37โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric HD MSFT
Zone Low $285.00 $370.00
Zone High $320.00 $419.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
โ† HD Research    MSFT Research โ†’    All Research