HD vs MELI: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and MercadoLibre, Inc. โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
The Home Depot, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$337.34
+12.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
VS
MercadoLibre, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$1,767.42
+41.4% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A
QuantHub Verdict
MELI has more upside to fair value (+41.4%). HD trades at a lower forward P/E (23.0x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric HD MELI
Current Price $337.34 $1,767.42
Fair Value Estimate $378.00 $2,500.00
Upside to Fair Value +12.1% +41.4%
Market Cap $336.0B $89.6B
Forward P/E 23.0x 35.0x
EV / EBITDA 18.1x 18.5x
Price / Sales 2.3x 3.1x
Price / FCF 29.7x 8.9x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.2% +39.1%
Gross Margin 33.3% 44.5%
Operating Margin 12.7% 11.1%
Return on Equity 110.5% 33.7%
Dividend Yield 2.44% 0%
FCF Yield 3.37% 12.1%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
HD โ€” The Home Depot, Inc.
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and a rapidly growing Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. The stock has declined 21% from its $427 high to $337, but now trades at 2.28x P/S, near the 5-year median of 2.31x, and 26.5x P/E which is above the 5-year median of 23.5x. EPS declined 4.6% in โ€ฆ
MELI โ€” MercadoLibre, Inc.
MercadoLibre is the dominant e-commerce and fintech ecosystem across Latin America, operating the largest marketplace and digital payments platform in a region with 670M+ people where e-commerce penetration is still under 15%. Revenue grew 39% to $28.9B in FY2025 with $10.8B in free cash flow โ€” a 12% FCF yield at current prices. The company is trading at its 5-year P/S minimum (3.1x) and P/FCF miโ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric HD MELI
Zone Low $285.00 $1,875.00
Zone High $320.00 $2,125.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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