HD vs MAR: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of The Home Depot, Inc. and Marriott International, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-18.
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$337.34
+12.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Marriott International, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$377.93
-16.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+12.1%).
HD trades at a lower forward P/E
(23.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
HD |
MAR |
| Current Price |
$337.34 |
$377.93 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$378.00 |
$315.15 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+12.1%
|
-16.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$336.0B |
$100.2B |
| Forward P/E |
23.0x
|
39.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
18.1x
|
25.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
3.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
29.7x
|
34.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+3.2%
|
+3.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.3%
|
21.3%
|
| Operating Margin |
12.7%
|
15.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
110.5%
|
-79.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.44% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
3.37%
|
2.89%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and a rapidly growing Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. The stock has declined 21% from its $427 high to $337, but now trades at 2.28x P/S, near the 5-year median of 2.31x, and 26.5x P/E which is above the 5-year median of 23.5x. EPS declined 4.6% in …
Marriott International operates the world's largest hospitality portfolio with approximately 8,900 to 9,000 properties across 141 countries and over 30 brands, supported by the largest loyalty program with 203 to 210 million members. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale, brand strength, and network effects. However, despite steady revenue growth of 3.1% year-over-y…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
HD |
MAR |
| Zone Low |
$285.00 |
$236.36 |
| Zone High |
$320.00 |
$267.88 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|