GOOGL vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Alphabet Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-25.
Alphabet Inc. · Communication Services
$342.36
+16.6% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
GOOGL has more upside to fair value
(+16.6%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
GOOGL |
VST |
| Current Price |
$342.36 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$399.26 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+16.6%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$4,143.3B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
12.9x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
9.3x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
78.1x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+24.2%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
60.9%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
33.1%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
50.8%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.25% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
1.28%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Alphabet is the parent of Google Services (Search, YouTube, Android, Chrome, hardware, and the Play store), Google Cloud, and Other Bets, and it remains one of the highest-quality large-cap franchises in the market, with a TTM gross margin of 60.9%, TTM operating margin of 33.1%, TTM net margin of 54.8%, and a 50.8% return on equity. Revenue growth in the most recent quarter was 24.2% year over y…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
GOOGL |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$299.44 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$339.37 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|