GOOG vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Alphabet Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-24.
Alphabet Inc. · Communication Services
$334.98
+15.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
GOOG has more upside to fair value
(+15.8%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
GOOG |
VST |
| Current Price |
$334.98 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$387.82 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+15.8%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$4,065.3B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
12.7x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
9.1x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
76.4x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+24.2%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
60.9%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
33.1%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
50.8%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.26% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
1.31%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Alphabet Inc. is the parent of Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets, monetizing Search, YouTube, Android, Chrome, Google Play, Workspace, and enterprise cloud and AI infrastructure across the globe with roughly 190,820 full-time employees. The business quality is high: trailing-twelve-month gross margin is 60.9%, operating margin is 33.1%, net margin is 54.8%, and return on equity is 50.…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
GOOG |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$290.87 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$329.65 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|