GOOG vs LLY: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Alphabet Inc. and Eli Lilly and Company β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-18.
Alphabet Inc. Β· Communication Services
$339.40
-4.4% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
VS
Eli Lilly and Company Β· Healthcare
$939.47
+71.1% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A
QuantHub Verdict
LLY has more upside to fair value (+71.1%). LLY trades at a lower forward P/E (27.4x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric GOOG LLY
Current Price $339.40 $939.47
Fair Value Estimate $324.34 $1,607.00
Upside to Fair Value -4.4% +71.1%
Market Cap $4,105.7B $887.6B
Forward P/E 31.2x 27.4x
EV / EBITDA 23.1x 35.8x
Price / Sales 10.3x 14.8x
Price / FCF 56.4x 107.6x
Revenue Growth YoY +11.3% +44.7%
Gross Margin 59.7% 83.8%
Operating Margin 32.0% 45.6%
Return on Equity 35.0% 77.8%
Dividend Yield 0% 0.56%
FCF Yield 1.77% 0.93%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
GOOG β€” Alphabet Inc.
Alphabet Inc. operates as a global leader in internet content, advertising, cloud computing, and AI technologies, with dominant market positions in search, browser, and mobile operating systems. The company benefits from a high-quality business model characterized by a durable competitive moat, strong revenue growth of 11.3% year-over-year, and robust profitability with net margins of 32.8%. Desp…
LLY β€” Eli Lilly and Company
Eli Lilly remains the dominant GLP-1 franchise holder with Mounjaro and Zepbound generating $36.5B combined in 2025 on 45% total revenue growth to $65.2B. The company guided $80-83B for 2026, well above prior Street consensus, and launched Foundayo (oral GLP-1, FDA approved April 2026) with $1.5B pre-built inventory. At $939 the stock trades at 14.8x P/S, right at its 5-year median, and 27.4x for…
Accumulation Zones
Metric GOOG LLY
Zone Low $243.25 $1,205.00
Zone High $275.69 $1,366.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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